The 2026 ATP Beijing tournament moves into the quarterfinals in China. This is an ATP 500 event which follows the 250-point tournaments played this past week. It is more of a draw and therefore more of a prize for ATP players trying to stack points and qualify for the ATP Finals in November. The other reason a lot of top players are playing in the ATP Beijing event is that it immediately flows into the ATP Shanghai 1,000-point tournament next week. Players will spend two and a half to three weeks in China so that they can play this 500-point event and then the 1,000-point event back-to-back. Players took the opportunity to rest before this tournament, and then when Shanghai is over, they will be able to get some more rest on the back end and then regroup for a final push in Europe in late October. The Beijing-Shanghai combination of tournaments will have a lot to say about the ATP rankings and the 2026 points race, so this is an event worth keeping an eye on. LWOS has our best bets for four matches. Post your best bets and thoughts in the comments.
ATP Beijing
Hubert Hurkacz – Karen Khachanov: 1:00 EST
H2H: 0-1
This ATP Beijing match features two players who are both 6-1 in their last seven matches. Hubert Hurkacz and Karen Khachanov are playing really well right now. Hurkacz made the Chengdu final. Khachanov beat Felix Auger-Aliassime in Beijing, the second time in September he defeated the Canadian. Which player will stay hot?
Best Bet to Make
Welcome to our best bet section. You’re going to get a collection of bets to consider, also a confidence level which should guide how much you should invest in this match.
Parlay/hedge options: Hurkacz +2.5 games at 1.63 at @1xbet, Khachanov moneyline at 1.72 at @pinnacle
Confidence level on a scale of 1-10: 1 – You should not bet on this match.
This ATP Beijing match is a coin flip. Two guys are playing great. It’s not an easy choice. Both players can get very hot but then go off the boil as well. For this kind of match, over 2.5 sets is the play.
That being said, betting on over 2.5 sets is the best bet you can make.
Value bet/ the best odds: over 2.5 sets at 2.25 at @10bet
Alex De Minaur – Andrey Rublev: 2:30 EST
H2H: 4-5
This ATP Beijing match features two of the most disappointing players on the ATP Tour – not just this year, but in most years. Alex De Minaur and Andrey Rublev always fail at Major tournaments. De Minaur has squandered favorable draws and a high ranking. Rublev is one of the most maddeningly inconsistent players anywhere. Now they meet. They have faced each other nine times, but not yet in 2026. This is their first meeting of the year.
Best Bet to Make
Parlay/hedge options: De Minaur -0.5 games at 1.85 at @betfair
Confidence level on a scale of 1-10: 1 – you should not bet on this match.
This ATP Beijing match involves two totally untrustworthy players, so don’t bet on this one. If you insist, Rublev moneyline is the play just because De Minaur has been more disappointing than Rublev this year, and because Rublev does have more ballstriking talent.
That being said, betting on Rublev moneyline is the best bet you can make
Value bet/ the best odds: Rublev moneyline at 2.14 @pinnacle
Daniil Medvedev – Francisco Cerundolo: 4:30 EST
H2H: 0-1
This ATP Beijing match revolves around Daniil Medvedev, who is on a six-match winning streak. He is on a roll and feeling good about himself. Will he get tired after playing so much tennis? That might be the only reason he loses to Francisco Cerundolo, who is 4-2 in his last six matches but is not playing as well as Medvedev at the moment.
Best Bet to Make
Parlay/hedge options: Cerundolo +1.5 sets at 1.78 at @unibet
Confidence level on a scale of 1-10: 6 – you could bet two thirds of a unit on this match.
This ATP Beijing match should be Medvedev’s to win. Medvedev giving only 2.5 games is a solid bet to make at the given price. This is why our confidence level is higher than it usually is.
That being said, betting on Medvedev -2.5 games is the best bet you can make
Value bet/ the best odds: Medvedev -2.5 games at 1.66 @betfair
Alexander Zverev – Novak Djokovic: 7:00 EST
H2H: 7-10
This ATP Beijing match is as good a match as you will ever find at an ATP 500 tournament, especially in a quarterfinal. Wow! This is a matchup many tennis fans have wanted to see at a Major. Instead they will get it in Beijing. Alexander Zverev has obviously had an amazing year with two Major titles, but Novak Djokovic has beaten him in the most important meetings between the two players. Now they get to test themselves versus each other. Bettors, take note: The set spread is roughly the same price both ways.
Best Bet to Make
Parlay/hedge options: none
Confidence level on a scale of 1-10: 1 – you should not bet on this match.
This ATP Beijing match should be enjoyed rather than bet on … but you know you want to see what the betting calculus is. We mentioned above that the set spread is basically even on both sides, at 1.90 for Zverev in straights and 1.93 for Djokovic +1.5 sets. We firmly come down on the side of Djokovic … but again, you should just enjoy this match instead of betting on it.
That being said, betting on Djokovic +1.5 sets is the best bet you can make
Value bet/ the best odds: Djokovic +1.5 sets at 1.93 @unibet
Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images
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