Marin Cilic vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili prediction, odds, picks for ATP Almaty Open 2026

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Monday’s Cilic-Basilashvili men’s singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Basilashvili a 55% chance of winning against Cilic at the ATP Almaty Open tournament.
Additionally, Basilashvili has a 53% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Cilic (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 25.5 games has a 58% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Moneyline: Nikoloz Basilashvili -151, Marin Cilic +130
First Set: Cilic +120, Basilashvili -152

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Moneyline: Cilic @ +130 via DraftKings
First Set: Basilashvili @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 25.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Almaty Open match between Marin Cilic and Nikoloz Basilashvili is scheduled to start on Monday at 5:05 AM ET.

Who: Marin Cilic vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili
Date: Monday, October 19, 2026
Approx. Time: 5:05 AM ET/2:05 AM PT
Tournament: ATP Almaty, Kazakhstan Men’s Singles 2026
Round: Round of 32

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Nikoloz Basilashvili, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat Marin Cilic at the ATP Almaty Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article’s predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers’ proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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