Our independent predictive model gives Musetti a 77% chance of defeating Zhou at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament.
Additionally, Musetti has a 72% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Zhou (+4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 21.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Lorenzo Musetti -505, Yi Zhou +385
- First Set: Zhou +275, Musetti -357
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Zhou @ +385 via DraftKings
- First Set: Musetti @ -125 via DraftKings
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first serve details
The ATP Shanghai Masters match between Yi Zhou and Lorenzo Musetti is scheduled to begin on Friday at 7:10 AM ET.
- Who: Yi Zhou vs. Lorenzo Musetti
- Date: Friday, October 9, 2026
- Approx. Time: 7:10 AM ET/4:10AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Shanghai, China Men’s Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Lorenzo Musetti, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat Yi Zhou at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article’s predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers’ proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
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